In the match between Democrata GV and Villa Nova MG on January 19, 2025, Villa Nova MG secured a narrow 1-0 victory, with the decisive goal scored in the first half at 43:44. The match's outcome was significantly influenced by tactical discipline and defensive resilience by Villa Nova MG, especially in the face of numerical disadvantage due to accumulative yellow cards. Despite their lack of possession and fewer attacking opportunities, Villa Nova MG's efficiency in taking early lead gave them an advantage to control the game's pace.

Statistical analysis shows that Democrata GV created ample opportunities with a total of six corner kicks compared to Villa Nova's three. However, they failed to capitalize on these set-piece opportunities, and their inability to convert chances into goals was a decisive factor. Democrata's lack of offsides indicates well-timed attacking runs, but their efforts were not sufficient to break down Villa Nova's resilient defense, which managed to hold firm despite their aggressive style, as evidenced by their three yellow cards.

The key turning point in this matchup was the red card shown to a Democrata GV player, which severely impacted their ability to mount a comeback. The home team's discipline was notably better with no yellow cards, but the red card compromised their numerical strength, leaving them vulnerable. Villa Nova's disciplined defensive approach and tactical management allowed them to absorb pressure and secure the single-goal lead until the final whistle. Villa Nova's success in maintaining focus and composure in the face of mounting fouls underscored their tactical superiority in a tightly contested affair.

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