Saturday Racing Tips – Dan James Racing

More Thunder steps up from handicap company to Group 2 level in the Hungerford Stakes at Newbury, showcasing a rapid improvement curve under William Haggas. A three-time winner this season—with victories including a dominant return to winning form at the Bunbury Cup—he looks upwardly mobile and highly capable. His only defeat came by a head in a competitive Wokingham at Royal Ascot, indicating he is more than just stopping-group class.

Despite his rise to a 103 rating, his handicap mark remains relatively modest, giving him a competitive edge going into this pattern-level contest. As connections point out, there’s little reason to doubt his progression—he’s “unlucky not to be unbeaten this season” and should handle this higher grade confidently. His proven speed, versatility, and well-timed form peak make him a compelling favourite for the Hungerford Stakes.

Leadman boasts a solid profile for this race, despite a disappointing recent run at Goodwood (18th of 20 at 6/1 SP). A five-year-old bay gelding trained by David O’Meara and ridden by William Buick, his pedigree (Kingman–Dansili line) promises class and adaptability. Although his last run wasn’t impressive, form can be misleading—many factors, including low draw or unsuitable ground, could have influenced the outcome.

The step down to a 7f Class 2 handicap might better suit him, potentially unlocking improvement. His inclusion in multiple tip lists suggests that tipsters believe his Goodwood result was an outlier, and that he offers value at this level. If he can recapture his best from earlier in the season, he’s capable of bouncing back strongly.

Candleford brings a wealth of stamina and solid form to the Group 3 Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury. Now seven, he returned to stakes action with a credible third in the Group 3 Glorious Stakes at Goodwood, demonstrating he remains competitive at this level. His breakthrough came at Beverley in a listed race last month, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure.

Trainer William Haggas is in fine form lately—his runners have won at a striking 38% success rate over the past fortnight. Jockey Tom Marquand, also doing well, takes the ride. ITV Racing’s coverage opens with him, underlining his prominence among contenders. With conditions expected to suit—a true 1m5f test and good ground—Candleford’s proven stamina, recent form, and strong connections all point toward a bold showing in the Geoffrey Freer Stakes.