- 13 November 2025, Norway vs Estonia, 4-1, Lose
- 14 October 2025, Estonia vs Moldova, 1-1, Draw
- 11 October 2025, Estonia vs Italy, 1-3, Lose
- 05 September 2025, Italy vs Estonia, 5-0, Lose
- 09 June 2025, Estonia vs Norway, 0-1, Lose
- 31 March 2026, Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy, 5-2, Lose
- 26 March 2026, Italy vs Northern Ireland, 2-0, Win
- 16 November 2025, Italy vs Norway, 1-4, Lose
- 13 November 2025, Moldova vs Italy, 0-2, Win
- 14 October 2025, Italy vs Israel, 3-0, Win
Italy's decisive 3-1 victory over Estonia in the World Cup Europe Qualification highlighted the difference in offensive efficiency between the two teams. Italy wasted no time asserting their dominance early, with a goal in the first five minutes. Their second goal before halftime established strong control. Italy's ability to capitalize on opportunities was further exemplified by their eight corner kicks, emphasizing their sustained offensive pressure compared to Estonia's inability to create a single corner opportunity.
Estonia struggled not only to contain Italy's attack but also in maintaining discipline. Their 19 fouls resulted in four yellow cards, indicating a frantic attempt to disrupt Italy's rhythm, yet these defensive actions were not enough to halt the structured Italian offense. In stark contrast, Italy committed only eight fouls, showcasing their ability to maintain control both defensively and offensively, despite receiving three yellow cards of their own.
Teamwork and cohesion were critical for Italy's performance. Their fluid movement allowed them to penetrate Estonia's defenses, while their defensive solidity limited Estonia to just a single goal. Italy's structured approach enabled them to maintain possession and composure throughout the match, despite Estonia's aggressive play. Estonia's lack of corner kicks and high foul count reflected a reactive and pressured approach, struggling to build sustained attacks, which was the key factor in their defeat.
Form Guide
| Lose | 4-1 | Norway vs Estonia | |
| Draw | 1-1 | Estonia vs Moldova | |
| Lose | 1-3 | Estonia vs Italy | |
| Lose | 5-0 | Italy vs Estonia | |
| Lose | 0-1 | Estonia vs Norway |
- PLAYED
- 5
- WINS
- 0
- GOALS
- 3:14
- GOALS / MATCH
- 0.6
- Estonia has lost four matches in a row with a goal difference of 3:14, scoring 0.6 goals average
| Lose | 5-2 | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Italy | |
| Win | 2-0 | Italy vs Northern Ireland | |
| Lose | 1-4 | Italy vs Norway | |
| Win | 0-2 | Moldova vs Italy | |
| Win | 3-0 | Italy vs Israel |
- PLAYED
- 5
- WINS
- 3
- GOALS
- 10:9
- GOALS / MATCH
- 2
- Italy has won three out of its last five matches with a goal difference of 10:9, scoring 2 goals average
Estonia H2H Italy
| Home game | Estonia | 1 | 3 | Italy | Away game | World Cup Europe Qualification | |
| Away game | Estonia | 0 | 5 | Italy | Home game | World Cup Europe Qualification | |
| Away game | Estonia | 0 | 4 | Italy | Home game | International Friendlies | |
| Away game | Estonia | 0 | 3 | Italy | Home game | UEFA Euro | |
| Home game | Estonia | 1 | 2 | Italy | Away game | UEFA Euro |
- PLAYED
- 5
- WINS
- 0
- GOALS
- 2:17
- GOALS / MATCH
- 0.40
- Estonia lost five times in head-to-head matches
- Teams played five times head-to-head in the current season with the goals score 2:17; average goals per match – 0.40
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