Club Bolivar secured a 1-0 away victory. The decisive moment arrived early in the first half at 00:15:11, when Bolivar took the lead. Gremio then pressed persistently, as reflected by 11 corner kicks to Bolivar's 1.

Gremio's discipline deteriorated over the match, recording two red cards and three yellow cards, along with 16 fouls. Bolivar posted 11 fouls and a single yellow, showing a comparatively cleaner defensive approach. The disparity in disciplinary outcomes significantly affected the home side's ability to sustain pressure after the early setback.

An attacking intent was evident from Gremio through the volume of set-pieces, with 11 corners, but the lack of goals indicates finishing or conversion was the limiting factor. Bolivar's defense managed to withstand the cross-driven threat and protect their lead.

Bolivar's performance yielded a clean sheet, suggesting effective defensive organization under pressure. The home-side corner dominance did not translate into a goal, highlighting a pivotal mismatch between pressure and finishing in this fixture.

Tactically, Gremio pushed numbers forward to overturn the deficit, a route that was compromised by two red cards. The events forced a reconfiguration and likely constrained their tempo and spatial control in midfield and at the back.

Bottom line: The away win was driven by an early goal and a disciplined defensive showing in the face of sustained Gremio pressure. The two dismissals for Gremio and the lone Bolivar yellow were the most consequential factors shaping the outcome.

Betting angles for a potential rematch include considering Gremio's ongoing discipline risk; if cards recur, both teams may see elevated card counts again. The volume of set-pieces suggests continued pressure from Gremio, so overs on corners could remain a viable angle if that attacking approach persists.

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