- 06 September 2026, FC Tobol vs FK Ulytau, 3-1, Win
- 30 August 2026, FC Kaspiy vs FC Tobol, 1-0, Lose
- 25 August 2026, FC Tobol vs FC Kaysar Kyzylorda, 3-2, Win
- 16 August 2026, Irtysh Pavlodar vs FC Tobol, 0-2, Win
- 02 August 2026, FC Ordabasy vs FC Tobol, 2-0, Lose
- 05 September 2026, FC Okzhetpes vs FC Ordabasy, 2-1, Lose
- 29 August 2026, FC Ordabasy vs FC Kyzylzhar, 3-0, Win
- 15 August 2026, FC Ordabasy vs Altay Oskemen, 3-1, Win
- 08 August 2026, FC Zhetysu vs FC Ordabasy, 0-4, Win
- 02 August 2026, FC Ordabasy vs FC Tobol, 2-0, Win
FC Tobol 0-3 FC Ordabasy, with the result sealed in the second half. Tobol’s red card in the second period tipped the balance and allowed Ordabasy to convert the numerical edge into three goals. Tobol also edged the corners tally 6-5, while Ordabasy forced more offside opportunities (3 to 1).
Ordabasy’s attacking intent intensified after the break, turning pressure into three goals. The timing suggests a quick reaction to the dismissal, producing a higher tempo and more forward runs once the match opened up.
Defensively, Ordabasy held firm for the clean sheet after taking the lead. Tobol, reduced to ten men, struggled to sustain meaningful attacks or break through Ordabasy’s compact setup. The higher offside count for Ordabasy implies a willingness to probe in behind Tobol’s lines when space appeared.
Set-piece activity remained tightly contested, with Tobol managing six corners to Ordabasy’s five without converting. Disciplinary data shows Tobol’s aggression—two yellows and a red—against Ordabasy’s three yellows, underscoring how discipline and game management influenced the outcome.
For bettors, the decisive impact came from Tobol’s sending-off, which radically altered the match tempo and the probability of a late concession. In future head-to-heads, weigh teams’ ability to exploit numerical advantages and maintain defensive structure after a red card, as those factors proved decisive here.
Form Guide
| Win | 3-1 | FC Tobol vs FK Ulytau | |
| Lose | 1-0 | FC Kaspiy vs FC Tobol | |
| Win | 3-2 | FC Tobol vs FC Kaysar Kyzylorda | |
| Win | 0-2 | Irtysh Pavlodar vs FC Tobol | |
| Lose | 2-0 | FC Ordabasy vs FC Tobol |
- PLAYED
- 5
- WINS
- 3
- GOALS
- 8:6
- GOALS / MATCH
- 1.6
- FC Tobol has won three out of its last five matches with a goal difference of 8:6, scoring 1.6 goals average
| Lose | 2-1 | FC Okzhetpes vs FC Ordabasy | |
| Win | 3-0 | FC Ordabasy vs FC Kyzylzhar | |
| Win | 3-1 | FC Ordabasy vs Altay Oskemen | |
| Win | 0-4 | FC Zhetysu vs FC Ordabasy | |
| Win | 2-0 | FC Ordabasy vs FC Tobol |
- PLAYED
- 5
- WINS
- 4
- GOALS
- 13:3
- GOALS / MATCH
- 2.6
- FC Ordabasy has four wins in its last five matches with a goal difference of 13:3, scoring 2.6 goals average
FC Tobol H2H FC Ordabasy
| Away game | FC Tobol | 0 | 2 | FC Ordabasy | Home game | Premier League | |
| Home game | FC Tobol | 0 | 3 | FC Ordabasy | Away game | Premier League | |
| Away game | FC Tobol | 2 | 0 | FC Ordabasy | Home game | Kazakhstan Cup | |
| Home game | FC Tobol | 1 | 0 | FC Ordabasy | Away game | Premier League | |
| Away game | FC Tobol | 3 | 2 | FC Ordabasy | Home game | Premier League |
- PLAYED
- 5
- WINS
- 3
- GOALS
- 6:7
- GOALS / MATCH
- 1.20
- In the last five matches that these two sides meet, FC Tobol overtook FC Ordabasy three times
- FC Tobol won three times, lost twice
- Teams played five times head-to-head in the current season with the goals score 6:7; average goals per match – 1.20
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