Bologna sealed a 1-0 win at Gewiss Stadium, with Riccardo Orsolini’s second-half strike—finished off the move after a cross from Jonathan Rowe around the 61st minute mark (goal at 01:17:37; assist recorded at 01:18:00). The late decisive moment underlined Bologna’s ability to convert a higher-quality chance when it mattered most.

From an attacking standpoint, Bologna dominated the key shooting metrics, posting five shots on target and seven off target across 12 attempts. Atalanta managed just one shot on target from ten attempts, with nine off target. Bologna also edged the tactical indicators with five corners to two, while Atalanta were caught offside three times to Bologna’s single; the disparity in on-target efficiency stands out.

Defensively, Bologna’s discipline was clearer with six fouls compared to Atalanta’s 17, and both teams earned one yellow card. The heavier foul count on Atalanta suggests a more disruptive approach that may have disturbed their flow, while Bologna capitalised on a more controlled buildup despite fewer fouls overall. The low number of visits to the byline for Atalanta signals a compact, perhaps opportunistic visiting rearguard that limited the home side’s constructive play.

Tactically, Bologna’s use of width and set-piece potential manifested in the five corners and higher overall volume of attacking actions, which translated into a decisive finish. Atalanta’s forward runs were fewer and more offside prone, indicating timing issues in their offensive transitions. The combination of greater finishing efficiency and superior set-piece engagement proved the decisive edge in this match.

For bettors, the decisive factor was Bologna’s higher quality of chances and their ability to convert when the moment arrived, supported by a more disciplined defensive shape and more dangerous set-piece play. The data suggest that matches featuring a clear gap in on-target efficiency (5 vs 1) and set-piece output (5 corners vs 2) tend to tilt toward the away side when the home side underperforms in front of goal. Conversely, Atalanta should reassess their run timing and finishing discipline, as the three offside instances and a high foul count coincided with limited attacking punch.

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