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  • 09 June 2026, Estonia vs Lithuania, 1-0, Win
  • 06 June 2026, Estonia vs Faroe Islands, 1-0, Win
  • 11 June 2024, Lithuania vs Estonia, 4-5, Win
  • 08 June 2024, Estonia vs Faroe Islands, 4-1, Win
  • 19 November 2022, Estonia vs Lithuania, 2-0, Win
Estonia
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  • 09 June 2026, Estonia vs Lithuania, 1-0, Lose
  • 06 June 2026, Lithuania vs Latvia, 6-5, Win
  • 11 June 2024, Lithuania vs Estonia, 4-5, Lose
  • 08 June 2024, Latvia vs Lithuania, 0-2, Win
  • 19 November 2022, Estonia vs Lithuania, 2-0, Lose
Lithuania
Away
Baltic Cup
Baltic Cup, Europe

Estonia edged Lithuania 1-0, with the decisive strike arriving in the second half. The result reflects a tight contest where Estonia avoided red cards and Lithuania accumulated more disciplinary points. Estonian corners (4) narrowly led Lithuania's (3), while Estonia also recorded more offside calls (4 to 1).

The attacking narrative points to Estonia applying sustained pressure in the latter stages, aided by a higher propensity to get in behind from wide areas. The second-half goal aligns with that push and the 4 corner opportunities suggest that Estonia were probing the Lithuanian defense from multiple angles. The higher offside count indicates an ambitious forward line looking for through balls and runs behind the line.

Defensively, Estonia maintained a clean sheet, signaling solid organization and discipline at key moments. Lithuania’s 19 fouls imply a more aggressive approach to disrupt play, which can generate stoppages and fragment opposing rhythm. Despite that, the absence of a goal conceded shows Estonia managed to convert their defensive shape into a decisive moment when it mattered.

Set-piece dynamics favored Estonia slightly, given their extra corner tally, which provided a platform to test the Lithuanian back line. The offside imbalance (Estonia’s higher figure) suggests they attempted more vertical, attacking plays that tested the line but also risked losing yards in offside calls. Lithuania’s discipline issues occurred alongside attempts to press, which can disrupt rhythm but may invite set-piece opportunities for the opposition.

Teamwork and performance comparison points to Estonia’s cohesion as a differentiator, with fewer total yellows reflecting cleaner collective discipline amid late pressure. Lithuania’s higher card count and fouling rate hint at a more fractious approach that affected their ability to sustain a consistent tempo. In terms of tactical impact, Estonia’s compact defense combined with efficient transitions proved decisive in the narrow win.

For bettors, the match reinforces Estonia’s viability as a solid home underdog against similar profiles, particularly where robust defense and set-piece potential can tilt a 90-minute result. A 1-0 outcome reinforces the under-2.5 goals angle and highlights Estonia’s ability to convert limited chances, especially when they face a team willing to commit bodies forward. Watch for Lithuania’s higher foul and card incidence in future fixtures, as those patterns can create angles for opponents via free-kicks, cards, and breaks in play.

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Form Guide

Win1-0Estonia vs Lithuania
Win1-0Estonia vs Faroe Islands
Win4-5Lithuania vs Estonia
Win4-1Estonia vs Faroe Islands
Win2-0Estonia vs Lithuania
PLAYED
5
WINS
5
GOALS
13:5
GOALS / MATCH
2.6
  • Estonia has won five matches in a row with a goal difference of 13:5, scoring 2.6 goals average
Lose1-0Estonia vs Lithuania
Win6-5Lithuania vs Latvia
Lose4-5Lithuania vs Estonia
Win0-2Latvia vs Lithuania
Lose2-0Estonia vs Lithuania
PLAYED
5
WINS
2
GOALS
12:13
GOALS / MATCH
2.4
  • Lithuania has two wins in its last five matches with a goal difference of 12:13, scoring 2.4 goals average

Estonia H2H Lithuania

Home gameEstonia10LithuaniaAway gameBaltic Cup
Away gameEstonia54LithuaniaHome gameBaltic Cup
Home gameEstonia20LithuaniaAway gameBaltic Cup
Away gameEstonia10LithuaniaHome gameBaltic Cup
Home gameEstonia13LithuaniaAway gameInternational Friendlies
PLAYED
5
WINS
4
GOALS
10:7
GOALS / MATCH
2.00
  • In the last five matches that these two sides meet, Estonia overtook Lithuania four times
  • Estonia won four times, lost once
  • Teams played five times head-to-head in the current season with the goals score 10:7; average goals per match – 2.00
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