In the enthralling match of the Copa do Brasil on the 31 May 2023, the home team, Fortaleza CE, managed to secure a narrow win over the away team, SE Palmeiras, with a decisive 1-0 scoreline.
On dissecting the key statistical factors, the goal that decided the outcome was scored in the second half at the 73rd minute by Fortaleza. Although both teams were evenly matched in terms of committed fouls, with each side registering 5 fouls, Palmeiras was at the receiving end of the referee's book, earning substantially more yellow cards. The away team was handed 4 yellow cards, with the first coming late in the first half at the 44th minute and the rest in the second half. Contrastingly, Fortaleza was more disciplined, receiving only a single yellow card, early in the first half.
Another interesting insight that surfaced from the match data was the evident dominance of Fortaleza in corner kicks. The home team secured 8 corners, showing a more aggressive offensive performance and gaining more opportunities to score. Meanwhile, Palmeiras could only manage to earn 3 corners, thus having fewer chances to threaten the Fortaleza goal.
Moreover, the discipline of the home team really stands out when we look at the offside statistics. Fortaleza did not go offside throughout the match, indicating a well-organized attacking line and better game awareness. On the other hand, Palmeiras failed to maintain its offensive discipline once, marginally denting their offensive potency.
It's important to observe that both teams didn't receive any red cards, hence they kept their full squads on the pitch throughout the match. Nonetheless, Palmeiras's indiscipline, as demonstrated by their excessive yellow cards, could have caused disruption in their gameplay and affected their overall performance.
In conclusion, the factors that swung the match in Fortaleza's favor were a combination of a disciplined defensive performance represented in fewer yellow cards, a more assertive attack underscored by more corner kicks, and better offensive discipline as observed in their offside stats. These details, combined with Fortaleza's decisive second-half goal, were the keys to their victory over Palmeiras.
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