Club Almagro secured a 2-1 away win at CA Nueva Chicago. Nueva Chicago opened the scoring at 20:50 to go 1-0 up, but Almagro struck twice in the first half, at 26:48 and 41:08, to lead 2-1 at the break. The second half produced no further goals, and the match finished with Nueva Chicago on four yellow cards and Almagro on two.

Nueva Chicago displayed attacking intent through a higher volume of set-pieces, pulling six corners to Almagro’s three. The two quick Almagro counters before the interval proved decisive, as the visitors converted first, then absorbed late pressure to protect their lead. Almagro’s defensive shape after taking the lead helped them weather Nueva Chicago’s sustained pressure.

Defensively, Almagro conceded only once and maintained a compact structure after going in front, while still committing more fouls (14) than the home side (11). The clean sheet for Nueva Chicago’s second half was not achieved, but Almagro’s backline and goalkeeper limited further open chances beyond the corners faced.

Offensive discipline stood out: Almagro produced 0 offsides, whereas Nueva Chicago had 4, indicating more controlled forward runs by the visitors and more timing in breaks. The contrast in offside discipline helped Almagro maintain momentum after the equalising period and reduce turnover risk during the final phase.

From a betting perspective, the decisive factor was Almagro converting their first-half opportunities and Nueva Chicago’s failure to capitalise on higher corner volume. The result suggests two key drivers: precise early finishing by the away side and disciplined, compact defending once in front. The data imply that the match hinged on early decisive goals and the ability to manage set-piece threats rather than weather-related factors.

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