- 29 September 2026, Ethiopia vs Senegal, 0-1, Lose
- 25 September 2026, Sudan vs Ethiopia, 1-0, Lose
- 31 March 2026, Ethiopia vs Sao Tome and Principe, 1-0, Win
- 27 March 2026, Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia, 0-3, Win
- 19 November 2024, DR Congo vs Ethiopia, 1-2, Win
- 29 September 2026, Ethiopia vs Senegal, 0-1, Win
- 25 September 2026, Mozambique vs Senegal, 1-1, Draw
- 19 November 2024, Senegal vs Burundi, 2-0, Win
- 14 November 2024, Burkina Faso vs Senegal, 0-1, Win
- 15 October 2024, Malawi vs Senegal, 0-1, Win
Senegal clinched a 1-0 away victory over Ethiopia, with the decisive goal arriving in the first half. Ethiopia posted more corners (5) than Senegal (2), indicating higher attacking volume even without conversion. The match ultimately hinged on the visitors’ early strike and a disciplined defensive show after the break.
Offensive timing data shows Senegal carried zero offsides, suggesting well-timed runs and efficient build-up. Ethiopia, by contrast, registered six offsides, reflecting a more optimistic but less precise attacking approach. That discrepancy helped Senegal manage possession and resist second-half pressure.
Foul counts favouring Ethiopia (13) over Senegal (7) point to a higher pressing intensity from the home side. Senegal’s disciplinary record is clean in terms of red cards and only three yellow cards, indicating controlled tackling. No red cards were issued to either side, preserving the balance of chances late on.
Defensively, Senegal managed the lead with a compact back line, absorbing pressure while maintaining shape. Ethiopia’s extra corners did not translate into goals, highlighting a gap in finishing or a lack of decisive headers. Set-piece quality remains a factor to monitor, as Ethiopia can create more odds from corners even when conversion is lacking.
Attacking intent from Ethiopia shows willingness to penetrate via cross-rich play, yet execution lagged behind Senegal’s counter-brief. Senegal defended the lead through patient, compact organization and disciplined midfield shape. The visitors leveraged transitions on the break to protect their advantage.
The most significant factor was Senegal’s first-half goal, which established the framework of the game. Ethiopia’s six offsides and higher foul rate undermined their ability to sustain pressure once behind. With no red cards and a modest yellow tally for both, the match remained tight and controllable for the winner.
For bettors, the data implies that a home team’s offside-heavy attacks can backfire if finishing remains clinical elsewhere. Senegal’s away win while sustaining discipline suggests similar outcomes could be repeatable against comparable sides. Watch for teams that can convert early chances and maintain structure to protect leads, particularly when offside pressure is skewed.
Form Guide
| Lose | 0-1 | Ethiopia vs Senegal | |
| Lose | 1-0 | Sudan vs Ethiopia | |
| Win | 1-0 | Ethiopia vs Sao Tome and Principe | |
| Win | 0-3 | Sao Tome and Principe vs Ethiopia | |
| Win | 1-2 | DR Congo vs Ethiopia |
- PLAYED
- 5
- WINS
- 3
- GOALS
- 6:3
- GOALS / MATCH
- 1.2
- Ethiopia has won three out of its last five matches with a goal difference of 6:3, scoring 1.2 goals average
| Win | 0-1 | Ethiopia vs Senegal | |
| Draw | 1-1 | Mozambique vs Senegal | |
| Win | 2-0 | Senegal vs Burundi | |
| Win | 0-1 | Burkina Faso vs Senegal | |
| Win | 0-1 | Malawi vs Senegal |
- PLAYED
- 5
- WINS
- 4
- GOALS
- 6:1
- GOALS / MATCH
- 1.2
- Senegal has four wins in its last five matches with a goal difference of 6:1, scoring 1.2 goals average
Ethiopia H2H Senegal
| Home game | Ethiopia | 0 | 1 | Senegal | Away game | Africa Cup of Nations Qualification |
- PLAYED
- 1
- WINS
- 0
- GOALS
- 0:1
- GOALS / MATCH
- 0.00
- Ethiopia lost once in head-to-head matches
- Teams played one times head-to-head in the current season with the goals score 0:1; average goals per match – 0.00
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